FNUS73 KDMX 140958 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER LAKE...IDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 458 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 CDT ON MAY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH PAST 7 PM TONIGHT BUT REMAIN SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING. DRY RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY AROUND 20 PERCENT AND POSSIBLY LESS BETWEEN 2 PM AND 5 PM DURING THE STRONGEST MIXING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........92 AT IGNITION...MAX 95. RH..................25 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-15600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR TO EXCELLENT (25700-111800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........13 14 16 18 19 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............90 92 94 94 94 93 RH..............25 23 22 21 21 22 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..16 18 21 22 21 20 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.11 13 15 16 15 14 EYE LVL WND GST.25 25 30 30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.1 4.1 5.1 3.7 2.4 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW MIXNG WIND SPD..14 18 22 25 24 22 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1400-18300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........32 34 37 39 41 46 48 49 51 52 50 48 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP............88 84 81 78 75 73 71 69 66 64 63 62 RH..............26 31 35 42 46 51 55 59 65 70 70 72 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..17 15 13 12 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 15 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW N EYE LVL WND SPD.12 11 9 9 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.25 20 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW MIXNG WIND SPD..20 18 18 18 18 18 17 15 10 8 7 7 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...PODRAZIK REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL STRAUSER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130514.BEAVE.01/DMX