FNUS75 KGJT 132024
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVEWOOD RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
224 PM MDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE SHARPER RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN TODAY WILL BE FLATTENED OVER
THE NEXT FEW AS ENERGY MOVES ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER AND ACROSS THE
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. WINDS WILL REMAIN RATHER LIGHT ALOFT ON TUESDAY
WITH GENERAL AND RIDGETOP WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH.
THIS MAY KEEP THE WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE TERRAIN DRIVEN WITH UPSLOPE
WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST. A BETTER DEFINED WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BRING AN INCREASE TO THE WINDS ALOFT. WITH
STRONG MIXING EXPECTED AGAIN THIS SHOULD ALLOW MORE WESTERLY WINDS
TO OVERCOME THE TERRAIN WINDS BY THE AFTERNOON. BOTH DAYS SHOULD
ACHIEVE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL WITH TEMPERATURES
RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) BY 1200. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 8 MPH THROUGH 1000 THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE AT 5 TO 9 MPH BY 1200. RIDGETOP
                    WINDS NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 1000 THEN
                    INCREASING TO 14500 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH 1000 THEN WEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37 TO 42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY BY 1900. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THROUGH 1900 THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH THROUGH 1900 THEN BECOMING
                    TERRAIN DRIVEN.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) IN THE MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH THROUGH
                    100 THEN BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 12 MPH
                    BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 14800 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...JOE DUENSING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.DAVEW.01/GJT