FNUS73 KMKX 141643 AAA
FWSMKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATAVIA KETTLE MORAINE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1143 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE BURN SITE REMAINS RIGHT ON THE BORDER OF DIFFERING WIND
DIRECTIONS...MAKING THE WIND DIRECTION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS
A BIT TRICKY. LATEST MODELS INDICATE THE WIND MAY STAY NORTHWEST
TO WEST INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...EVENTUALLY SWITCHING TO THE SOUTH
AND THEN SOUTHEAST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE LAKE BREEZE MOVES
IN. THE WINDS MAY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR A TIME DURING THIS
TRANSITION. LATEST GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES A BIT
WARMER THAN EARLIER EXPECTED AND THUS SOMEWHAT LOWER RH VALUES.
HAVE UPDATED NUMBERS FOR THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 40 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5200-13800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     76     77     74
RH..............41     37     37     44
20 FT WIND......NW 5   W 5    S 7    SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (3400-4600 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     67     66     67     64     62
RH..............49     59     63     63     70     67
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    SW 8   W 10   W 10   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...DDV
REQUESTED BY...DEREK CASBON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.BATAV.01/MKX