FNUS76 KSTO 140050
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR MOUNTAIN RX UNIT E...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
550 PM PDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE BURN
SITE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY.
THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO TRIGGER AFTERNOON
CUMULUS CLOUDS...AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN MAINLY NEAR THE SIERRA CREST OR ABOVE 6000 FEET. WINDS
WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE WIND GUSTS OR DOWNDRAFTS
NEAR ANY STORMS. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.



.TODAY (TUESDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AFTERNOON CUMULUS POSSIBLE OVER
                    HIGHER TERRAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
                    AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM TO THE EAST OF THE
                    BURN SITE NEAR THE CREST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST UP TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...AND UPSLOPE
                    OR WEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH UP TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...SOUTHWEST
                    TO WEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 TO 5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH UP TO 6 MPH BECOMING WEST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WEST UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    OR DOWNSLOPE UP TO 4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    UP TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................00 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO NEAR GROUND LEVEL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST UP TO
                    5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE OR
                    SOUTHWEST TO WEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........VARIABLE LESS THAN 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 TO 4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE LESS THAN 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    UP TO 6 MPH.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...DAVID A REYNOLDS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.BEARM.01/STO

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