FNUS72 KTAE 140615
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 252...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
215 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES...

...HIGH DISPERSIONS OF 75 OR HIGHER ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL COUPLE
WITH HIGH ERC VALUES THIS AFTERNOON TO PROVIDE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.
ON WEDNESDAY...DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH DO NOT APPEAR TO BE
LIKELY AND THE AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK. THUS...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AFTER
TODAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO
                    10 MPH BY MID-MORNING.
DISPERSION..........77.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........5      6      6      7      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     71     76     81     81
RH..............57     35     26     22     23
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION..........3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........7      7      7      7      7      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     77     68     61     57     54
RH..............26     33     49     64     76     82
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 2   E 2    SE 2   CALM   CALM
20 FT WIND GUST.7      5      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........33.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     13     13     16     19     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     54     66     78     82     86
RH..............92     92     61     40     32     28
20 FT WIND......CALM   CALM   E 2    S 2    S 5    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      7      15

$$
FORECASTER...DON VAN DYKE
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.BURNU.01/TAE