FNUS75 KCYS 142333
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MTN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
533 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS TO DIE OFF THIS EVENING WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES THE REST OF TONIGHT. VARIABLE WINDS WITH SHOWERS WILL
BECOME DOWNSLOPE TO LIGHT WESTERLY BY LATE THIS EVENING...BUT
WINDS TO BECOME VARIABLE AND LIGHT BY SUNRISE. WIND DIRECTION
IS A TOUGH FORECAST WEDNESDAY. WINDS LIKELY VARIABLE AT 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON AT THIS
LATEST. ERRATIC WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COVERAGE WILL BE MUCH GREATER THAN
TODAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS.

IT MAY BE A GOOD IDEA TO SUBMIT A NEW SPOT FORECAST FOR THIS
SITE THURSDAY MORNING AS COMPUTER MODLES SHOULD HAVE A BETTER
HANDLE ON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...AS WELL AS THE
WIND FORECAST.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (2600-64200 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING (35-45 PERCENT).
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...
                    THEN WEST AT 5 TO 15 IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS WITH SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDESTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (103800 IN THE MORNING AND
                    235800 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON).

$$
FORECASTER...LIEBL
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130515.BALDM.01/CYS