FNUS75 KCYS 150341
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTERBROOK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
941 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT WITH A TROUGH OF SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE ROCKIES. THESE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR
MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE
FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE MOUNTAINS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE A
POSSIBLITY WITH SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). 40 PERCENT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 7 TO 11 MPH
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AT 23900 KNOT-FT IN THE MORNING THEN
                    EXCELLENT AT 96700 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LIEBL
REQUESTED BY...JODI STONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130515.ESTER.01/CYS