FNUS73 KDMX 151221 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR GEORGE KUNCH WMA...IA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 721 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE STATE TODAY AND PROVIDE HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6600-51600 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........30 32 32 36 42 45 46 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............74 76 77 79 79 79 80 79 RH..............44 40 39 36 36 35 35 36 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 MIXNG WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E NE MIXNG WIND SPD..16 15 14 13 12 10 9 7 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 6 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-20100 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 44 36 31 36 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............77 70 64 60 58 56 RH..............39 51 63 69 75 83 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 5 NE 3 NE 6 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 5 NE 4 NE 2 NE 4 E 4 E 4 EYE LVL WND GST. 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 1500 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......NE 6 E 3 E 3 NE 6 E 6 E 6 HAINES INDEX....5 6 6 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-52600 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........46 49 53 58 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............58 72 78 79 RH..............80 53 45 45 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 8G10 SE 10 SE 7G10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4G5 SE 6G10 SE 7G10 SE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2700 6600 5700 MIXNG WIND......SE 6 SE 10 S 9 S 7 HAINES INDEX....4 5 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PODRAZIK REQUESTED BY...JESSICA MANKEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130515.GEORG.01/DMX