FNUS73 KUNR 142135
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STOCKADE...SD WILDLAND FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
335 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...THOUGH LATE
TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY RESULT IN A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING. QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT IGNITION TIME WITH
LIGHT WINDS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    TERRAIN DOMINATED.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0600.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 12 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...JAY WICKHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130515.STOCK.01/UNR