FNUS73 KAPX 161656 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR S BRANCH BARRENS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1256 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW HUMIDITY AND...AT TIMES...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE BURN SITE. WINDS RELAX QUICKLY THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH ALSO A QUICK DROP IN TEMPERATURES. RESULTANT RH RECOVERY RATHER SUBSTANTIAL TONIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN RESULTING IN CRITICAL LEVEL RH VALUES IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...BECOMINGLY EASTERLY THROUGH THE MORNING. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MIN 31. RH..................23 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR (0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 6 9 13 16 18 20 26 31 WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST TEMP............69 67 65 58 53 44 40 38 36 34 32 31 RH..............23 25 28 37 48 73 82 89 92 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......500 500 400 300 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........37 45 49 54 59 54 WEATHER COV.....AREAS WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............31 40 52 62 71 75 RH..............96 85 52 36 27 24 20 FT WIND......NE 1 E 2 E 3 SE 3 E 4 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130516.SBRAN.01/APX