FNUS71 KCTP 160943
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR WSG RX - SGL  82...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
543 AM EDT THU MAY 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY
TODAY...ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE REST OF THE DAY
SHOULD FEATURE PARTLY SUNNY AND DRIER CONDITIONS WITH JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN 9-15 STRIKES
                    UNTIL 1000...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5300-6800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 4500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............60  57  57  57  57  56  53  52
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................67  69  70  71  73  73  73  73
RH..................63  62  57  52  47  46  44  44
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......12  13  14  14  14  14  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 4.1 5.3 6.3 6.8 6.5 5.6 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....23  23  23  23  22  22  21  20
LAL.................3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX........3   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.WSGRX.01/CTP