FNUS75 KCYS 160215
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
815 PM MDT WED MAY 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED
THROUGH THE LATE EVENING BEFORE DECREASING. SKIES WILL TURN
PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS...AND
THE CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN WILL REMAIN SMALL. MINIMUM AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE. FRIDAY WILL SEE
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS TO
30-35 MPH FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH AFTER NOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT AFTER NOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1O TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING FAIR.




$$
FORECASTER...FINCH
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTINE MITCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.MORGA.02/CYS