FNUS73 KDMX 161248 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR GEORGE KUNCH WMA...IA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 748 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SE TODAY...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. ALSO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MIXING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-51500 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........24 31 44 51 52 56 58 59 62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............69 73 75 77 79 80 80 81 80 RH..............57 48 45 40 38 36 36 38 42 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 3.0 4.4 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.5 5.8 5.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S MIXNG WIND SPD..14 14 13 10 9 9 8 8 7 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-26900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........63 66 69 72 72 71 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP............77 70 64 62 61 59 RH..............47 59 73 81 84 90 20 FT WIND......SE 8 E 6 E 6 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 E 4 E 4 SE 5 SE 4 SE 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 MIX HGT (FT)....4500 1700 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......S 7 SE 6 SE 6 S 6 S 6 S 5 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-46700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52500-63800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........71 68 65 61 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC TEMP............60 70 75 80 RH..............90 71 62 52 20 FT WIND......E 8G10 SE 10 SE 12G15 SE 10G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6G10 SE 7G10 SE 9G15 SE 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2400 4000 5800 MIXNG WIND......SE 3 SE 14 S 15 S 13 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BHATTARAI REQUESTED BY...JESSICA MANKEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130516.GEORG.01/DMX