FNUS73 KDMX 161415 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SENECA WILDLIFE...IOWA DNR-USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 915 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0915 CDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE FAIRLY LOW THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH DEEP MIXING. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT BUT NOT BE EXTREME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (300-59500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (79900-110600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........28 27 31 39 44 49 59 64 66 71 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............66 69 71 74 77 79 81 81 81 81 RH..............50 45 41 37 32 29 26 26 27 29 20 FT WIND DIR..W S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.W S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 3.0 4.7 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 7.7 7.4 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S MIXNG WIND SPD..6 7 7 6 6 7 9 12 15 17 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (29200-113300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (2000-3000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........74 79 85 89 91 93 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP............77 69 64 63 61 60 RH..............35 51 65 70 78 81 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 EYE LVL WND GST.15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....7100 2500 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......S 18 S 14 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 12 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SMALL REQUESTED BY...DUSTEN PAULUS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130516.SENEC.01/DMX