FNUS71 KLWX 161058 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR EVICK KNOB...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 658 AM EDT THU MAY 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT ANOTHER WARM DAY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC TODAY EVEN THOUGH A COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA. THIS FRONT COULD TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A SLIGHT COOL DOWN. THE FRONT WILL LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6600-8400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 7200-9100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 32 MPH...DECREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........87 86 91 92 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 74 77 77 RH..............55 50 47 48 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 W 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 CWR.............20 40 50 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR.................50 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 2 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........92 93 92 90 89 86 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 69 65 62 60 59 RH..............55 70 81 87 90 87 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 4 CWR.............50 50 50 30 20 20 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........82 78 83 90 94 92 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 62 67 71 73 74 RH..............93 81 73 63 57 55 20 FT WIND......W 2 E 0 SE 2 SE 2 S 3 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 CWR.............10 30 30 30 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...SCHOOR REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW WAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130516.EVICK.01/LWX