FNUS76 KMFR 160713 AAA
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH WARNER JUNIPER...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1213 AM PDT THU MAY 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY A FRONT MOVING
INLAND TODAY...LIKELY BRINGING A WETTING RAIN ALONG WITH A COOLER AIR
MASS. INSTABILITY PARAMETERS ARE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE FOR
THUNDER, SO HAVE REMOVED THEM FROM TODAY'S FORECAST. SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE AREA. SHOWERS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND THERE IS A VERY SLIM CHANCE FOR A
THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. IT WILL REMAIN
COOL ON FRIDAY WITH WETTING RAIN STILL POSSIBLE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    2-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING NORTH 2-4 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    4-8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3-6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM/SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...TRENT WILKIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.NORTH.01/MFR