FNUS73 KOAX 160948
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAILROAD HWY...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
448 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A VARIABLE AND GENERALLY LIGHT WIND THIS MORNING SHOULD
BECOME SOUTHEAST BY 1 PM.  RELATIVELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS COULD
ALLOW FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT JUST ABOUT ANYTIME
TODAY...ALTHOUGH THE MOST LIKELY TIME APPEARS TO BE FROM LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........72     72     71     71     71     70
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............77     79     78     74     68     65
RH..............53     54     56     65     75     80
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 10  SE 10  SE 10  SE 9   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY/CHERMOK
REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.RAILR.01/OAX