FNUS73 KDLH 171503
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLOUFF CREEK...U.S.F.S.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1003 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT SHOWERS WERE MOVING ACROSS THE BORDER REGION THIS
MORNING...AND MAY AFFECT THE BURNSITE OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. RAINFALL WILL
ONLY BE A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. WE EXPECT THE HUMIDITY TO DROP THIS AFTERNOON...BUT HAVE SOME
CONCERNS THAT WE'LL REACH THE LOWER VALUES BASED ON THE LIGHT SHOWERS ON RADAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 TO 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    9 TO 14 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13000) INCREASING TO GOOD (43300) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (46500) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD (34100) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............55     58     60     57
RH..............44     35     33     40
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..7      11     12     11
20 FT WIND GUST.14     20     21     18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19600) DECREASING TO POOR (3600) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............55     49     44     41     40     40
RH..............41     52     62     70     71     76
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..11     10     10     9      10     10
20 FT WIND GUST.18     16     15     15     15     16

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN M.
REQUESTED BY...RYAN KINGSLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130517.PLOUF.01/DLH