FNUS73 KFGF 171048 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN VALLEY...MN DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 548 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0521 CDT ON MAY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FORECAST MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY TO MOIST AT THE WILD FIRE SITE. RH HAS BEEN BELOW 40 PERCENT ALL NIGHT AND EXPECT IT TO REMAIN STUBBORNLY LOW THROUGH THE MORNING AS A HIGHLY LOCALIZED DRY WEDGE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA MODIFIES VERY LITTLE. WITH CLOUD COVER AND A SLOW TEMPERATURE RISE...DO NOT EXPECT RH TO DROP MUCH FROM ITS LATEST OBSERVATION. OF THE MODELS THAT HAVE PERFORMED BEST...THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE SOME RELIEF IN THE WAY OF HIGHER RH BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. EVEN SO...DO NOT EXPECT RH TO RISE ABOVE 50 PERCENT UNTIL LATER TONIGHT WHEN AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO IMPACT WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST... INCREASING TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. WINDS SATURDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN TODAY...BUT STILL FAVORING A SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. LIKELY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL KEEP RH ELEVATED THROUGH THE DAY...BOTTOMING OUT BETWEEN 60 AND 70 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........84 85 86 88 88 89 89 88 87 86 84 83 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ TEMP............55 56 58 60 62 63 64 64 65 65 64 63 RH..............42 42 43 43 43 43 43 45 49 51 51 51 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........83 85 88 91 94 97 WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE.... RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP............61 57 54 53 52 52 RH..............51 64 71 81 83 84 20 FT WIND......SE 12 SE 11 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 10 15 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74. MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........97 90 84 88 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP............54 60 69 71 RH..............85 83 72 69 20 FT WIND......SE 9G15 SE 9G15 SE 9G15 SE 9G15 $$ FORECASTER...ROGERS REQUESTED BY...DOUG MIEDTKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130517.GREEN.01/FGF