FNUS73 KUNR 172246
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKTAIL...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
446 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1627 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY OVER CAMPBELL COUNTY ARE MOVING
NORTHEAST. IF THEY CONTINUE ON THEIR CURRENT TRACK...THEY WILL
AFFECT THE BURN AREA SHORTLY AFTER 6 PM. ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME
                    STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
                    DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY/ERRATIC NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...MELODY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130517.BLACK.01/UNR