FNUS75 KCYS 181214
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK RX...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
614 AM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 18.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH GUSTS OVER 30
MPH POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A
STORM SYSTEM PUSHING INTO WYOMING TODAY. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (48600 INCREASING TO 149300 KNOT-FT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 TO 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63200-128100 KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90400-163600 KNOT-FT).

$$

REQUESTED BY...RAWLINS DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130518.MORGA.01/CYS