FNUS75 KGJT 181559
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HERMOSA HILL...SJF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
959 AM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0923 MDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE
SHOWERS ARE BEGINNING TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS NORTH OF THE FIRE. GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
STORMS. WETTING RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. THE SHOWERS TAPER OFF
OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70%)
                    BY 1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1200...INCREASING TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70%) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40%).
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...
                    THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS/JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...BRITT QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130518.HERMO.01/GJT