FNUS75 KCYS 191511
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
911 AM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE ROCKIES TODAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL MAKE FOR A CLOUDY DAY WITH SOME WETTING RAINS
OVER THE BURN AREA. THOUGH TO SAY HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL
BUT A GOOD GUESS IS FOR A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN INCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FEW AN FAR BETWEEN TONIGHT
BUT MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY.


...PUT DISCUSSION TEXT HERE...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD RAIN
                    THROUGH THE DAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON
                    AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 KTS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (40500-82200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH AND GUSTY.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50100-58000 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (67500-99800 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...LIEBL
REQUESTED BY...RAWLINS DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130519.MORGA.01/CYS