FNUS76 KMFR 200638
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE...BLY RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1138 PM PDT SUN MAY 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 PDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER TO THE BURN AREA
TODAY. AN ABRUPT CHANGE IS EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A SHARP
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN
SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY WITH A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWEST WITH
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IN THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL
BE LIMITED, BUT THERE MAY BE A SHOWER LATE IN THE DAY OR EVENING. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL KEEP COOL, UNSETTLED WEATHER IN
THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES MAY STRUGGLE TO GET OUT
OF THE 40S ON WEDNESDAY. MOST PRECIPITATION THOUGH WILL BE ALONG AND
WEST OF THE CASCADES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT NORTH OR NORTHEAST 0-1 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 0-2 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
                    WEST BY EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST AT SIMILAR SPEEDS
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 0-2 MPH BECOMING CALM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    MAYBE A SHOWER TOWARD EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON THEN NORTHWEST IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 25-30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KNERR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130520.MORTA.01/MFR