FNUS76 KOTX 211922
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLEN BEAR  167...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1222 PM PDT TUE MAY 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 PDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE BURN SITE AFTER 600 PM.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THEN SWITCH
TO WEST TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING. THERE IS
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BEHIND
THE FRONT...EXPECT STEADY RAIN THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL DIP TO NEAR 5000 FT AGL
WHICH WILL GIVE A RAIN SNOW MIX AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
BURN SITE WEDNESDAY MORNING. MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS AND HIGHER
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 300 PM.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 800 PM.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................65 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST-WEST 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 17 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...RF
REQUESTED BY...GARY TELFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130521.FALLE.01/OTX