FNUS74 KBMX 222342 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SHILO...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 642 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1832 CDT ON MAY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. RH VALUES COULD FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT FOR MORE THAN 4 HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHEAST...BUT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH...AND KDBI CRITERIA WILL ALSO NOT BE MET. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....64. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. LAL.................3. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....48. TIME (CDT) 6 PM SKY.............MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TEMP............79 RH..............69 20 FT WIND......SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 TRANSPORT WIND..230/15 DISPERSION......48 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 74 70 67 66 66 RH..............65 79 90 95 100 98 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 W 3 SW 2 SW 1 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 <5 <5 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 1700 600 400 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..230/15 230/12 240/8 220/6 220/5 230/5 DISPERSION......48 8 5 3 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 25 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 73 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 86 DECREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 82 INCREASING TO 100 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 67 76 81 84 84 RH..............100 90 66 54 50 47 20 FT WIND......N 0 N 1 W 5 W 8 NW 10 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.<5 <5 10 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2100 5000 5700 6900 8200 TRANSPORT WIND..260/7 280/9 300/13 290/14 290/17 300/21 DISPERSION......2 25 73 60 82 104 $$ FORECASTER...ANDERSON REQUESTED BY...PALOSTM RICHEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130522.SHILO.02/BMX