FNUS76 KLOX 212215
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO 11...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
315 PM PDT TUE MAY 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHILE
MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP A DEEP MARINE LAYER FILLING IN
THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY. THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY WILL BE IN THE
MIDDLE OF THESE TWO REGIMES...BUT THE DRY NORTHERLY FLOW SHOULD
WIN OUT BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING...IF NOT EARLIER. HUMIDITIES
SHOULD GET WELL INTO THE TEENS DURING THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE
TRICKY...WITH BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN AREA...BUT LOWER ELEVATIONS HAVE A GOOD
CHANCE OF SOUTHWESTERLY AFTERNOON WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION. MAX 83.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION. MIN 15 PERCENT.
WIND................
 EYE-LEVEL..........NORTH 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH AT IGNITION.
                    OTHERWISE NORTH 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                    12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION.
                    OTHERWISE 1000 FT RISING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING 10-15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 45 PERCENT.
WIND................
 EYE-LEVEL..........WEST 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH 4 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING NORTH 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING LOWERING TO
                    1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KITTELL
REQUESTED BY...RUDY GILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130522.RANCH.01/LOX