FNUS72 KMHX 221445 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR GOCR UNIT A...NC STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1045 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY AND CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...THEN MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............59 66 68 67 66 65 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................81 82 82 82 82 81 RH..................60 58 58 58 58 60 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................52 56 61 66 70 71 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............64 63 63 63 64 64 65 65 65 67 70 73 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................80 79 77 75 74 73 72 72 71 70 70 69 RH..................60 62 67 71 74 76 79 79 84 87 87 90 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 1 1 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 ADI.................65 56 45 32 18 9 8 8 8 11 14 21 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............77 80 81 81 82 83 84 85 86 85 84 83 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY TEMP................70 70 72 74 76 77 78 79 79 79 79 78 RH..................87 87 81 76 74 71 69 69 69 69 69 71 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............4 4 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 ADI.................19 16 17 17 18 42 47 51 53 48 41 36 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...JOE HAWLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130522.GOCRU.01/MHX