FNUS75 KPUB 201445
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO PASS RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
845 AM MDT MON MAY 20 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN SCAR TODAY AND
TUESDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO COLORADO FOR WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR 60
DEGREES EXPECTED.  HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO LOWER TO THE MID TEENS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN...FLOW SHOULD
TRANSITION WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH MAIN THREATS BEING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0900...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH THROUGH 1000 BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8000 FT AGL AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(4 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0100. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH BECOMING WEST 10
                    TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...DAVE CARR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130522.BUFFA.01/PUB