FNAK79 PAFG 250131
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR DTAE JARVIS CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
531 PM AKDT FRI MAY 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.
A WEAK THERMAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE FAIRBANKS
TO NORTHWAY WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY.
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE TROUGH
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS 10-14 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY EVENING...DIMINISHING TO 3-6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 200-1000 FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.

.SATURDAY...........

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 TO 15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS 10-14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING RISING TO
                    8000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-10 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING LOWERING TO 200-1000
                    FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO
                    8000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130524.DTAEJ.01/AFG