FNUS73 KDLH 271835 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR NW SANDS RX BLOCKJ4...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 135 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA IS MAINTAINING DRY EASTERLY FLOW OVER NW WISCONSIN AND THE BURN LOCATION TODAY. THIS DRY EASTERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO SUPPRESS THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH TOMORROW. DUE TO THE BURN LOCATION'S PROXIMITY TO LAKE SUPERIOR, THERE COULD BE SOME FLUCTUATION IN THE DIRECTION OF THE EASTERLY WINDS DUE TO SE WINDS ON LAND AND NE WINDS OVER THE LAKE. THE WIND SPEED TODAY SHOULD BE AROUND OR UNDER 10 MPH. WE ARE FORECASTING AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. SOME WEATHER MODELS ARE INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, BUT OTHER MODELS KEEP THE REGION DRY. MY CONFIDENCE IN TOMORROW'S FORECAST IS LOW. THE LOCATION COULD GET SOME SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS AND STORMS TOMORROW, IN WHICH CASE WE MAY NEED TO LOWER THE TEMPERATURE AND INCREASE THE RH FORECAST. OTHERWISE, THE LOCATION COULD REMAIN DRY, IN WHICH CASE WE WOULD NEED TO DO THE OPPOSITE. FOR NOW, I AM FORECASTING A HIGH TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 60S, RH NEAR 60-65 PERCENT, AND NE WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (83400) DECREASING TO GOOD (59000) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............63 65 61 RH..............43 40 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12300) DECREASING TO POOR (2350) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............60 57 54 52 50 48 RH..............49 59 69 77 77 80 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 5 4 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 6 5 6 7 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5250) INCREASING TO POOR (8600) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............49 57 60 57 57 57 RH..............83 69 67 75 72 72 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 13 10 7 $$ FORECASTER...GEOFF REQUESTED BY...KAREN VANZO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130527.NWSAN.01/DLH