FNUS74 KLZK 281028 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR LAKE FIRE...U.S.FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 528 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2000 CDT ON MAY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS TODAY AND DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL RAIN AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE WILL BE LOW. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE UP THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ON WEDNESDAY ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD ARKANSAS AND DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY. OVERALL FRIDAY WILL HAVE A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN. THEN THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE CLOSER TO AND INTO ARKANSAS OVER THE WEEKEND...AND THIS WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF CONVECTION TO THE REGION. A FEW AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP DUE TO SLOW SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87. RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4400 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3914 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 73 73 74 77 79 82 83 85 86 86 87 RH..............77 75 74 72 65 60 56 54 51 49 48 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 14 14 14 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 15 16 17 18 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 85 82 79 76 75 74 73 72 71 70 69 RH..............49 51 56 62 67 70 73 75 78 81 83 86 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 18 18 17 16 16 15 15 14 14 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BCMG MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4189 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 69 71 74 76 78 80 82 83 84 85 85 RH..............87 87 82 76 71 66 63 60 58 57 56 56 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 11 11 11 11 14 14 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 15 16 17 18 18 18 17 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SWENDSEN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130527.CEDAR.01/LZK