FNUS75 KGJT 312126
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LACKEY BASIN RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
326 PM MDT FRI MAY 31 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON JUNE 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MUCH WEAKER WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL LIMIT SMOKE
DISPERSION DESPITE DECENT LOFT FROM GOOD SURFACE HEATING. EXPECT
TO SETTLE QUICKLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SLOPE MOVES INTO THE
SHADOW OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST. SURFACE WINDS ON SATURDAY
WILL BE DOMINATED BY TERRAIN. SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASES SUNDAY AND
SMOKE DISPERSION INCREASES AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE 4
CORNERS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......260 AT 1200 INCREASING TO 520 BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN NORTHEAST 6 MPH
                    AT 1200 SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 MPH AFTER 1400.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......250 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AFTER 2100.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BY 1300 WITH
                    SOME GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......520 AT 1200 INCREASING TO 1000+.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL AT 1200...AND 15000 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO
 THE SOUTHWEST 10 MPH AT 1200 AND 16 MPH BY 1500.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MARK ATWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130601.LACKE.01/GJT