FNUS75 KRIW 020032 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP CREEK RX...BLM RSD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 632 PM MDT SAT JUN 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON JUNE 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COMPACT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST ACROSS MONTANA FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY WESTERLY WINDS BOTH DAYS...WITH A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE FIRE SITE SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER AND SWITCHING WINDS FROM WEST SOUTHWEST TO MORE OF A WEST NORTHWEST WIND. THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE AREA...BUT IF THIS SYSTEM WOULD TRACK JUST A LITTLE MORE SOUTHWARD THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...THEN THE FIRE AREA WOULD HAVE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING. A RIDGE AT 9200 TO 9500 FEET JUST WEST OF THE FIRE...COULD DELAY THE ONSET OF WESTERLY WINDS SUNDAY WITH UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY DOMINATING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WESTERLY SHOULD MIX DOWN BY MID SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN INTO MONDAY IN WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY BY MIDDAY INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MURRELL .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........12-15 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH...BETWEEN 1 PM AND 3 PM. GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (196300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH BECOMING WEST 15-20 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL BY 9 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH BECOMING WEST 15-20 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (163000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR (48000 KNOT-FT) BY 9 PM. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH...BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (81800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (142500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MURRELL REQUESTED BY...GREG RESER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130602.CAMPC.01/RIW