FNUS73 KFGF 031245 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR TNC-RICE ELLIOT-3...NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 745 AM CDT MON JUN 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON JUNE 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN MINNESOTA AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WILL COMBINE TO CREATE AN EASTERLY FLOW TODAY INTO TONIGHT. UNDER THE EARLY MORNING INVERSION WINDS WILL BE LESS THEN 5 MPH BUT INCREASE FROM THE EAST TO 6 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND INCREASE A BIT AFTER-NOON. THIS EASTERLY COMPONENT MAY START OUT A BIT WOBBLY EARLY BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY STABLE BY IGNITION TIME. MINIMUM RH SHOULD BE A BIT LOWER THAN YESTERDAY AS THE DRY AIR AND PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE COMBINE TO DROP RH QUICKLY AS MIXING INCREASES. POOR MIXING EARLY WILL IMPROVE TO VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT BY IGNITION TIME. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE RISK BECOMING A BIT MORE LIKELY LATE IN THE DAY. TUESDAY LOOKS TO BE CONSIDERABLY MORE CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........50 55 60 64 68 72 74 76 77 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ TEMP............62 64 65 65 65 65 65 64 63 RH..............51 48 45 43 45 48 51 54 57 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........78 83 87 92 97 100 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE TEMP............61 58 56 54 53 52 RH..............60 66 71 77 85 88 20 FT WIND......E 9 E 9 E 11 E 12 E 13 E 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63. MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 99 97 92 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE TEMP............53 57 60 60 RH..............85 81 73 74 20 FT WIND......E 15G20 E 16G25 SE 16G25 SE 15G20 $$ FORECASTER...EWENS REQUESTED BY...MATT MECKLENBURG TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130603.TNCRI.01/FGF