FNUS75 KGJT 040006
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LACKEY BASIN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
606 PM MDT MON JUN 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1730 MDT ON JUNE 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SMALL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE IS LIMITED THIS EVENING...SO WETTING RAINFALL WILL
BE SPOTTY WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS DRY. THE LIKELIHOOD OF CONVECTION WILL
INCREASE WEDNESDAY EVENING AS AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
INCREASES FOR POP-UP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-7 MPH GUSTING TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE
                    EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND
                    DECREASE TO 3-5 MPH BY MORNING. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR BY EARLY MORNING.
CLEARING INDEX......950 DECREASING TO 50 BY EARLY MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH BY EARLY
                    MORNING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE EARLY EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS DURING EARLY EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130603.LACKE.01/GJT