FNUS75 KGJT 041438
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LACKEY BASIN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
838 AM MDT TUE JUN 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1730 MDT ON JUNE 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE AREA THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. A COLD FRONT WILL BE NEAR AND SHOULD REMAIN JUST NORTH OF
THE FIRE AREA TODAY. EXPECT SHOWERS AND MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL WITH ONLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WETTING RAINFALL. WINDS WILL GUST INTO THE
MID 20 MPH RANGE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH ERRATIC WINDS
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    DRY THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN CHANGING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE
                    IN THE MORNING 3 TO 7 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-44%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    BECOMING 3 TO 8 MPH AND TERRAIN DRIVEN
                    OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......950 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH TURNING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%). AN ISOLATED HIGH ELEVATION
                    SHOWER OR TWO IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 22 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130603.LACKE.01/GJT