FNUS73 KMPX 031157
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLORIDA CREEK...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
657 AM CDT MON JUN 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON JUNE 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON BUT IT IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A FEW RAINDROPS FALL BETWEEN 11 AM
AND NOON AT THE BURN SITE. GIVEN THE DRY LOWER ATMOSPHERE IN
PLACE...MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE
GROUND. SO...THE RADAR DISPLAY MAY ACTUALLY LOOK A LITTLE MORE
INTIMIDATING THEN IT ACTUALLY IS. HOWEVER...THERE COULD CERTAINLY
BE ENOUGH RAIN TO DAMPEN THE SURFACE. EXPECT INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-48800) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64500-90100) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    700-2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 3200-4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............51     55     58     60     65     64
RH..............71     65     62     58     50     52
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 9   SE 14  SE 14  SE 14  SE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     25     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....2      2      3      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9100-19300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 12
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...PHIL MILLETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130603.FLORI.01/MPX