FNUS73 KAPX 041223
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAD 14 BURN...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
823 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY REACH CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WINDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL NOT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES TODAY. AS THE HIGH EXITS THE REGION TONIGHT...A WEAK WARM
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO MICHIGAN AND PRODUCE SCATTERED...LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5400-5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22  27  36  53  62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............63  64  66  66  66
RH..............32  30  28  27  27
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5
SMOKE DISP......500 500 400 300 200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63  66  68  70  76  79  77  74  73  74  77  78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............66  64  61  57  53  49  46  45  44  43  43  44
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  E   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...TIM LOCKER
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130604.ROAD1.01/APX