FNUS73 KDLH 041524
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRACK LAKE...U.S.F.S.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1024 AM CDT TUE JUN 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS WERE MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN
MINNESOTA...WITH COOK REPORTING SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN AS OF 10 AM.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE A LIGHT SHOWER WILL AFFECT THE BURNSITE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH MINIMAL RAINFALL. CONDITIONS ARE
QUITE VARIABLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A HUMIDITY OF
36 PERCENT AT THE GRAND MARAIS AS OF 10 AM. THE ONSITE
OBSERVATION IS CLOSER TO THE PORTABLE RAWS JUST NORTH OF THERE. I
WILL BASE THIS FORECAST ON THE ONSITE OB WHICH WILL RESULT IN A
HIGHER HUMIDITY FORECAST TODAY.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    7 TO 11 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (30500) INCREASING TO GOOD (48500) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (41200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............58     61     62     56
RH..............52     36     31     34
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     ESE    ESE    SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4      8      8      7
20 FT WIND GUST.       12     14     12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12500) DECREASING TO POOR (2500) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM      10 PM     1 AM      4 AM
TEMP............53        44        40        38
RH..............39        57        67        76
20 FT WIND DIR..E         E         E         E
20 FT WIND SPD..8         5         4         4
20 FT WIND GUST.12        6         5         5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17000) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64900)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (109100) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (89300) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
TEMP............40        48        53        55
RH..............76        65        52        43
20 FT WIND DIR..E         E         E         E
20 FT WIND SPD..5         8         10        9
20 FT WIND GUST.6         12        14        13

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN M.
REQUESTED BY...TRACY FIFAREK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130604.TRACK.01/DLH