FNUS75 KGJT 042332
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LACKEY BASIN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
532 PM MDT TUE JUN 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1720 MDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISTURBANCE APPROACHING THE FOUR CORNERS THIS EVENING MAY
PROVIDE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE LATE
NIGHT TUESDAY OVER THE FIRE AREA. ERRATIC WINDS MAY DEVELOP FROM VIRGA
DURING THIS TIME. WEDNESDAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DECREASE
AND DRIER AIR WILL PERSIST OVER THE FIRE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    DRY THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-44%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......1050 DECREASING TO 100.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AN ISOLATED HIGH ELEVATION SHOWER OR
                    TWO IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    MPH WITH OCCASSIONAL GUSTY WINDS TO 21 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......1050 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130604.LACKE.01/GJT