FNUS74 KLZK 041136 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG POINT OPENINGS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 636 AM CDT TUE JUN 4 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0610 CDT ON JUNE 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND ARE APPROACHING NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. UPDATED FORECAST FOR 20 PERCENT POPS AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN NORTH AND WEST ARKANSAS MAINLY FOR MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE WILL BRING BETTER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE SUNDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. RH..................90 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3205 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC WEATHER COV.....PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....FOG TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............60 63 66 69 73 76 79 80 81 81 81 80 RH..............90 83 77 71 65 61 56 52 51 51 52 55 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 9 8 8 7 8 8 9 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2600 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1324 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 78 76 73 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 66 RH..............55 58 63 70 74 77 80 83 85 88 90 91 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82. RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 7 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2955 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 66 69 72 74 76 78 79 80 80 81 80 RH..............92 90 83 76 71 67 64 62 61 61 62 64 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S SE SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW S S SE SE SE SE E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 9 10 12 13 13 12 10 9 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130604.BIGPO.02/LZK