FNUS73 KGRR 071311
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BROHMAN C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
911 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON JUNE 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEAHTER EXPECTED TODAY.  NORTHEAST WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A
LAKE BREEZE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  IT DOES NOT APPEAR AS
IF THE LAKE BREEZE WILL MAKE IT THAT FAR INLAND.  IF IT DOES
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST ROUGHLY 10 TO 20 MPH.  I DID LOWER
RH VALUES AND WARMED UP TEMPERATURES GIVEN THE STRONGER SUNSHINE
AND DRIER AIRMASS WORKING SOUTH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5900-6400
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-700
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........41     61     68     68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     69     69     68
RH..............45     35     37     44
20 FT WIND......NE 12  NE 12  NE 12  N 11
20 FT GUST......15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 1 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR TO POOR).

$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SHERRETZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130607.BROHM.01/GRR