FNUS75 KPUB 090111
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH CREEK FIRE...PUEBLO COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
711 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
BURN SITE THROUGH SUNDAY.  ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AROUND THE BURN SITE THROUGH ABOUT 2100.  THESE STORMS
WILL PRIMARY DELIVER LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT THERE COULD
ALSO BE SOME PEA SIZE HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.

SENSORS AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON ARE INDICATING WINDS
EASTERLY AT 5 TO 20 MPH.  THESE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNSET AND THEN TRANSITION OVER TO SLOPE/VALLEY CIRCULATIONS.

RHS ARE GENERALLY AROUND 40 PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THEY
SHOULD GRADUALLY COME UP MORE THROUGH THE EVENING AS TEMPERATURES
FALL OFF AND WINDS BEGIN TO WEAKEN.

ON SUNDAY...UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN MORE FIRMLY OVER THE
BURN SITE.  THIS WILL RESULT IN CLEARER SKIES AND LESS WIND THAN TODAY.
IN GENERAL...WINDS WILL FAVOR SLOPE/VALLEY CIRCULATIONS THROUGH THE DAY.
RHS WILL LIKELY BE QUITE A BIT LOWER SUNDAY THAN THEY WERE TODAY DUE
TO A VERY WARM AND DRY AIRMASS MOVING INTO THE REGION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST TO WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0400.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...MARK MEARS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130608.NORTH.01/PUB