FNUS75 KPUB 082255
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR OX CART...USFS - PSF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
455 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
BURN SITE THROUGH SUNDAY.  ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS VISIBLE
SOUTHEAST OF THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY REMAIN THERE
THIS EVENING ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF ONE
OCCURRING THROUGH ABOUT 2100.  PRIMARY CONCERN WITH ANY STORM WOULD
BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

SENSORS AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON ARE INDICATING WINDS
NORTHWESTERLY 5 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO ABOUT 30 MPH IN THE
HIGHEST...MOST EXPOSED LOCATIONS.  EXPECT THESE TYPE OF WINDS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET AND THEN TURN OVER TO SLOPE/VALLEY
CIRCULATIONS.

RHS ARE GENERALLY IN THE 15-20 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. THEY
SHOULD START COMING UP GRADUALLY THROUGH THE EVENING AS TEMPERATURES
FALL OFF AND WINDS BEGIN TO CALM.

ON SUNDAY...UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN MORE FIRMLY OVER THE
BURN SITE.  THIS WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE DAY
AND LESS WIND THAN TODAY.  COULD STILL BE SOME NORTHWEST BREEZES
ACROSS THE HIGHEST...MOST EXPOSED TERRAIN...BUT...IN GENERAL...WINDS
WILL FAVOR SLOPE/VALLEY CIRCULATIONS THROUGH THE DAY.  RHS WILL
LIKELY BE A BIT LOWER SUNDAY THAN THEY WERE TODAY DUE TO A VERY
WARM AND DRY AIRMASS MOVING IN OVER THE BURN SITE.

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH.  GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    POSSIBLE ABOVE TIMBERLINE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND
                    8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130608.OXCAR.01/PUB