FNUS72 KMHX 101052 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR C-45...CAMP LEJEUNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 652 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AROUND MID-MORNING TODAY. GUSTS WILL BE UPWARDS OF 20KTS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............91 89 88 87 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................79 81 82 82 RH..................79 77 74 74 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 11 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 25 25 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 ADI.................29 59 72 72 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............87 86 88 91 93 85 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................81 78 76 75 74 73 RH..................77 82 87 87 90 90 20 FT WIND..........S 12 S 11 S 11 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 4 4 ADI.................64 50 36 23 23 23 HAINES INDEX........3 4 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............73 65 63 61 59 55 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................73 75 80 83 84 84 RH..................93 86 74 68 65 66 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 10 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 20 20 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................23 34 35 81 83 70 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PAGANO REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130610.C45__.01/MHX