FNUS75 KRIW 101504
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP CREEK RX...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
904 AM MDT MON JUN 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JUNE 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER NORTHERN UTAH
AND SOUTHEAST IDAHO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY.  HIGH BASED
SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE BURN AND
WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD OVER THE BURN.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG WITH THE HIGH BASED SHOWERS BY NOON.  WINDY SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE BY 11 AM.  ADDED OUTFLOW DOWNBURST WINDS FROM
HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PUSH WIND GUSTS OVER
55 MPH FROM NOON TO 6 PM.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY WARM ALONG WITH
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.  THE AIR MASS WILL BE UNSTABLE AS WELL WITH A
HAINES INDEX OF 5.  TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER BUT THE WIND THREAT ALONG
WITH THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH PASSING THROUGH DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AROUND 1030 AM (70-80 PERCENT)
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700-9700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (99100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (218000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-53 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400-2900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 31 TO 38 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (182500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD
                    (81000 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY AROUND NOON(55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.7 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-9700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (161800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (220700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...GREG RESER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130610.CAMPC.02/RIW