FNUS75 KBOU 111325 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 707 AM MDT TUE JUN 11 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0658 MDT ON JUNE 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH TODAY DUE TO STRONG GUSTY WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES. CRITICAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE PINE BEETLE KILLED TREES WHERE RAPID FIRE SPREAD IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO NEAR 10 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR ABOVE RECORD LEVELS AGAIN TODAY. FOR TONIGHT...WINDS WILL TURN A BIT MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING. HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVERNIGHT WILL BE MODERATE DUE TO SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES. ON WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER BUT TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE ANOTHER 2-4 DEGREES WARMER AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN. HUMIDITIES WILL BE VERY LOW ONCE AGAIN. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. VERY WARM AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........10%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 21-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 3100-4100 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 12700 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 16100-17100 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 12700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 45-50 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........60%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-11 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-45 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 15-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING POOR BY 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........12-14%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 3500-4500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7700 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 14300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 18200-19200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 15500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOWS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/11-07 17 0 0 45 44 SW 8 8 4 1 SW 60 2557 WSW 24 81833 G 06/11-08 17 0 0 54 31 SW 9 9 5 1 SW 60 4579 WSW 32155937 E 06/11-09 17 0 0 61 23 SW 12 16 5 1 SW 61 6600 WSW 40230040 E 06/11-10 17 0 0 67 17 SW 15 21 5 1 SW 59 9626 WSW 41355234 E 06/11-11 17 0 0 69 15 WSW 20 26 4 1 SW 58 12652 WSW 43480428 E 06/11-12 12 0 0 71 13 WSW 23 32 4 1 SW 56 15679 WSW 45605621 E 06/11-13 12 0 0 72 11 WSW 25 36 4 1 SW 58 16532 WSW 46657101 E 06/11-14 12 0 0 73 11 WSW 28 38 3 1 WSW 60 17385 WSW 47708580 E 06/11-15 18 0 0 73 10 WSW 28 39 3 1 WSW 61 18238 WSW 48760060 E 06/11-16 18 0 0 71 11 WSW 28 38 3 1 WSW 60 15492 WSW 47635054 E 06/11-17 18 0 0 68 13 WSW 26 37 2 1 WSW 59 12745 WSW 46510049 E 06/11-18 8 0 0 65 16 W 24 33 2 1 W 56 9999 W 45385043 E 06/11-19 8 0 0 61 19 W 22 30 2 1 W 56 8473 W 45327823 E 06/11-20 8 0 0 56 25 W 18 26 2 1 W 55 6946 W 45270602 E 06/11-21 4 0 0 53 30 W 16 23 2 1 W 54 5420 W 45213381 E 06/11-22 4 0 0 49 37 W 15 21 2 1 W 53 3770 W 38145492 V 06/11-23 4 0 0 46 44 W 14 18 2 1 W 51 2121 W 31 77603 G 06/12-00 4 0 0 44 49 W 13 17 2 1 W 49 471 W 24 9714 P 06/12-01 4 0 0 44 50 W 12 12 2 1 W 48 351 W 22 7048 P 06/12-02 4 0 0 43 51 W 10 10 2 1 W 48 232 W 20 4382 P 06/12-03 4 0 0 42 53 W 9 9 2 1 W 47 113 W 17 1716 P 06/12-04 4 0 0 40 56 W 9 9 3 1 W 49 190 W 15 2244 P 06/12-05 4 0 0 38 60 W 9 9 3 1 W 53 268 W 13 2773 P 06/12-06 24 0 0 39 57 W 9 9 4 1 W 55 346 W 12 3302 P 06/12-07 24 0 0 45 45 WSW 8 8 4 1 W 51 2791 W 14 46174 F 06/12-08 24 0 0 53 33 WSW 7 7 4 1 W 47 5237 WNW 17 89046 G 06/12-09 24 0 0 61 25 WSW 7 7 4 1 W 43 7682 WNW 20131919 V 06/12-10 24 0 0 67 21 WSW 7 7 4 1 W 41 11010 WNW 17155342 E 06/12-11 24 0 0 70 19 SW 8 8 3 1 W 39 14337 W 15178765 E 06/12-12 48 10 2 73 17 SW 9 9 3 2 W 38 17664 W 13202188 E 06/12-13 48 10 2 75 16 SW 10 10 3 2 W 36 18443 W 15251260 E 06/12-14 48 10 2 77 14 SW 10 10 4 2 WSW 33 19221 WSW 17300333 E 06/12-15 48 10 2 77 14 SW 12 16 4 2 WSW 32 20000 WSW 20349405 E 06/12-16 48 10 2 75 15 SW 12 17 4 2 WSW 36 17769 WSW 21322040 E 06/12-17 48 10 2 71 17 WSW 12 17 4 2 WSW 40 15538 SW 22294676 E 06/12-18 51 10 2 66 21 WSW 12 16 4 2 WSW 44 13307 SW 23267311 E 06/12-19 51 10 2 60 26 WSW 10 10 4 2 SW 44 10156 SW 22198860 E 06/12-20 51 10 2 55 32 WSW 9 9 4 2 SW 44 7005 SSW 20130410 V 06/12-21 51 10 2 51 38 WSW 7 7 4 2 SW 44 3854 SSW 18 61959 G 06/12-22 51 10 2 47 44 WSW 6 6 4 2 SW 43 3183 SSW 17 49758 F 06/12-23 51 10 2 45 49 WSW 5 5 4 2 SW 41 2513 SSW 17 37558 P 06/13-00 21 0 0 43 53 WSW 5 5 4 1 SW 40 1843 SSW 16 25357 P 06/13-01 21 0 0 42 54 WSW 3 3 4 1 SW 40 1568 SW 15 20785 P 06/13-02 21 0 0 41 56 WSW 3 3 3 1 SW 41 1293 SW 14 16213 P 06/13-03 21 0 0 40 57 W 3 3 3 1 SW 41 1018 WSW 13 11641 P 06/13-04 21 0 0 37 64 WSW 5 5 3 1 SW 45 912 WSW 13 10277 P 06/13-05 21 0 0 36 66 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 48 806 WSW 13 8912 P 06/13-06 28 0 0 38 62 WSW 7 7 3 1 WSW 52 700 W 13 7547 P 06/13-07 28 0 0 45 48 WSW 8 8 3 1 WSW 53 4064 WSW 17 91424 G 06/13-08 28 0 0 55 34 SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 54 7429 WSW 23175301 E 06/13-09 28 0 0 65 25 SW 12 18 3 1 WSW 55 10793 WSW 28259178 E 06/13-10 28 0 0 71 20 SW 14 22 3 1 WSW 53 13728 WSW 30364836 E 06/13-11 28 0 0 76 18 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 49 16663 WSW 32470495 E 06/13-12 43 15 3 78 17 WSW 17 28 3 3 WSW 47 19598 WSW 33576153 E 06/13-13 43 15 3 79 16 WSW 18 29 3 3 WSW 46 19732 WSW 35586047 E 06/13-14 43 15 3 79 16 WSW 18 30 3 3 WSW 44 19866 WSW 35595940 E 06/13-15 43 15 3 78 17 WSW 18 30 3 3 WSW 43 20000 WSW 35605833 E 06/13-16 43 15 3 76 17 WSW 17 29 3 3 WSW 43 17684 WSW 33518360 E 06/13-17 43 15 3 73 19 WSW 16 26 3 3 WSW 43 15368 WSW 32430887 E 06/13-18 33 3 1 69 22 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 43 13052 WSW 30343414 E 06/13-19 33 3 1 64 25 WSW 13 21 1 06/13-20 33 3 1 59 30 WSW 10 16 1 06/13-21 33 3 1 54 37 WSW 8 8 1 06/13-22 33 3 1 51 41 WSW 7 7 1 06/13-23 33 3 1 48 47 SW 7 7 1 06/14-00 24 0 0 47 49 SW 7 7 1 06/14-01 24 0 0 46 52 SW 7 7 1 06/14-02 24 0 0 45 54 SW 7 7 1 06/14-03 24 0 0 43 59 WSW 8 8 1 06/14-04 24 0 0 41 63 WSW 9 9 1 06/14-05 24 0 0 39 68 WSW 9 9 1 06/14-06 24 0 0 40 65 WSW 10 16 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130611.BIGME.01/BOU