FNUS75 KBOU 120200 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOW...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 800 PM MDT TUE JUN 11 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1951 MDT ON JUNE 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MAX RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY BE AROUND 50%. ON WEDNESDAY THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MIN AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM 10% TO 15%. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........50%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-45 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 10-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2900 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 5400 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 11100 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 14300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 18000-19000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 15300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG MEADOW. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/11-19 8 0 0 62 16 W 21 32 2 1 W 56 8425 W 43 314146 E 06/11-20 8 0 0 58 19 W 18 28 2 1 W 56 6773 W 43 249438 E 06/11-21 6 0 0 54 23 W 16 24 2 1 W 56 5121 W 41 184730 E 06/11-22 6 0 0 49 29 W 14 22 2 1 W 54 3510 W 35 124921 V 06/11-23 6 0 0 47 33 W 13 18 3 1 W 52 1900 W 28 65112 G 06/12-00 8 0 0 45 38 WNW 12 17 3 1 W 49 289 W 21 5302 P 06/12-01 8 0 0 44 42 WNW 10 16 3 1 W 49 326 W 20 5402 P 06/12-02 8 0 0 43 45 WNW 10 16 3 1 W 51 363 W 17 5502 P 06/12-03 8 0 0 42 49 W 10 16 3 1 W 51 400 WNW 16 5602 P 06/12-04 8 0 0 40 53 W 9 14 3 1 W 52 374 W 14 4621 P 06/12-05 8 0 0 38 57 W 9 9 4 1 W 54 349 W 12 3640 P 06/12-06 16 0 0 39 55 W 8 8 4 1 W 55 323 W 9 2658 P 06/12-07 16 0 0 45 45 W 8 8 4 1 W 53 2880 W 13 42053 F 06/12-08 16 0 0 53 34 WSW 8 8 4 1 W 51 5436 W 15 81447 G 06/12-09 16 0 0 61 26 WSW 8 8 4 1 W 48 7992 W 17 120841 V 06/12-10 16 0 0 67 21 WSW 9 14 4 1 W 45 11130 W 18 183159 E 06/12-11 16 0 0 70 19 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 41 14267 WSW 20 245477 E 06/12-12 32 0 0 73 17 WSW 13 20 3 1 WSW 38 17405 WSW 21 307796 E 06/12-13 32 0 0 75 15 WSW 14 21 3 1 WSW 38 18270 WSW 23 360885 E 06/12-14 38 10 2 77 14 WSW 14 21 4 2 WSW 38 19135 WSW 24 413975 E 06/12-15 42 10 2 77 13 WSW 14 21 4 2 SW 38 20000 WSW 26 467065 E 06/12-16 48 10 2 75 14 WSW 14 21 4 2 SW 37 17633 WSW 26 404871 E 06/12-17 48 10 2 71 17 WSW 14 21 5 2 WSW 36 15265 WSW 25 342678 E 06/12-18 51 10 2 67 20 WSW 13 21 5 2 WSW 36 12898 WSW 25 280484 E 06/12-19 51 10 2 62 24 WSW 9 14 5 2 WSW 35 9567 SW 21 198020 E 06/12-20 51 10 2 57 29 SW 6 6 5 2 WSW 35 6236 SW 17 115557 V 06/12-21 39 5 1 53 35 SSW 3 3 5 1 WSW 33 2905 SW 13 33093 P 06/12-22 39 5 1 49 41 SSW 3 3 5 1 SW 32 2192 SSW 12 24000 P 06/12-23 39 5 1 46 47 SSW 3 3 5 1 SW 31 1479 SSW 10 14906 P 06/13-00 21 0 0 45 49 SSW 5 5 5 1 SW 30 766 SSW 9 5813 P 06/13-01 21 0 0 44 50 SSW 5 5 4 1 SW 29 646 SSW 9 5024 P 06/13-02 21 0 0 43 52 SW 3 3 4 1 SW 28 526 SW 9 4235 P 06/13-03 21 0 0 42 53 SW 3 3 3 1 SW 25 405 SW 10 3446 P 06/13-04 21 0 0 39 59 SW 3 3 3 1 SW 31 328 SW 10 2861 P 06/13-05 21 0 0 38 61 SW 5 5 3 1 WSW 37 252 SW 10 2276 P 06/13-06 28 0 0 40 57 SW 6 6 3 1 WSW 43 175 WSW 12 1690 P 06/13-07 28 0 0 47 45 SW 6 6 3 1 WSW 45 4043 WSW 18 111962 V 06/13-08 28 0 0 56 33 SW 7 7 3 1 WSW 47 7911 WSW 25 222234 E 06/13-09 28 0 0 65 25 SSW 8 13 3 1 WSW 51 11779 WSW 32 332506 E 06/13-10 28 0 0 72 20 SW 10 17 3 1 WSW 51 14254 WSW 35 437643 E 06/13-11 28 0 0 76 18 SW 14 22 3 1 WSW 52 16730 WSW 37 542781 E 06/13-12 43 10 2 78 17 SW 16 25 3 2 SW 53 19206 SW 39 647919 E 06/13-13 43 10 2 79 16 SW 17 29 3 2 SW 52 19471 SW 38 645773 E 06/13-14 43 10 2 79 16 SW 18 30 4 2 SW 51 19735 SW 38 643627 E 06/13-15 51 10 2 78 17 SW 18 30 4 2 SW 49 20000 SW 37 641481 E 06/13-16 51 10 2 76 17 SW 17 28 4 2 SW 49 17877 SW 35 548654 E 06/13-17 51 10 2 73 19 SW 15 24 4 2 SW 48 15755 WSW 32 455826 E 06/13-18 33 3 1 69 22 SW 13 21 4 1 WSW 47 13632 WSW 31 362999 E 06/13-19 33 3 1 64 25 SW 10 17 4 1 WSW 48 9263 WSW 24 243900 E 06/13-20 33 3 1 60 29 WSW 9 15 4 1 SW 48 4894 WSW 18 124800 V 06/13-21 33 3 1 55 35 WSW 8 13 4 1 SW 48 525 WSW 13 5701 P 06/13-22 33 3 1 51 41 WSW 8 8 4 1 SW 45 809 WSW 15 12185 P 06/13-23 33 3 1 48 47 SW 8 13 4 1 SW 41 1092 SW 18 18669 P 06/14-00 13 0 0 46 51 SW 8 13 4 1 SW 38 1376 SW 21 25154 P 06/14-01 13 0 0 45 53 WSW 8 14 4 1 SW 36 1146 SW 21 20909 P 06/14-02 13 0 0 45 53 WSW 9 14 3 1 WSW 33 916 SW 21 16664 P 06/14-03 20 0 0 43 57 WSW 9 15 3 1 WSW 32 687 SW 21 12419 P 06/14-04 20 0 0 41 62 WSW 9 16 3 1 WSW 39 645 SW 21 11675 P 06/14-05 20 0 0 39 68 WSW 10 17 3 1 WSW 47 603 WSW 21 10930 P 06/14-06 21 0 0 40 65 WSW 12 18 3 1 WSW 55 562 WSW 21 10185 P 06/14-07 21 0 0 46 50 WSW 13 21 3 1 SW 56 3343 WSW 30 127342 V 06/14-08 21 0 0 54 36 WSW 15 23 3 1 SW 58 6124 WSW 38 244498 E 06/14-09 27 0 0 61 27 WSW 16 25 3 1 SW 58 8905 WSW 47 361654 E 06/14-10 27 0 0 67 22 WSW 17 26 3 1 SW 60 11272 WSW 48 472222 E 06/14-11 27 0 0 70 19 WSW 17 28 3 1 SW 62 13640 SW 48 582790 E 06/14-12 36 4 1 72 17 WSW 17 28 3 1 SW 63 16007 SW 49 693357 E 06/14-13 36 4 1 73 16 WSW 17 28 3 1 SW 62 16714 SW 49 712715 E 06/14-14 36 4 1 74 15 WSW 17 26 3 1 SW 61 17421 WSW 48 732072 E 06/14-15 36 4 1 74 15 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 60 18128 WSW 47 751429 E 06/14-16 36 4 1 72 15 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 56 16388 WSW 44 630756 E 06/14-17 36 4 1 70 16 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 53 14648 WSW 39 510083 E 06/14-18 31 2 0 67 17 WSW 14 22 3 1 WSW 48 12908 WSW 35 389411 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130611.BIGME.03/BOU