FNUS75 KPUB 120404
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK FOREST FIRE...EL PASO COUNTY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1004 PM MDT TUE JUN 11 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

NO CHANGES IN FORECAST FOR TONIGHT FROM THE PREVIOUS SPOT
FORECAST.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS PASSING THROUGH THE REGION.  THE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH DURING THE NIGHT...AND THE WIND
SPEEDS WILL DECREASE. THE AIR MASS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL REMAIN
DRY...AND THERE WILL BE POOR RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.

ISSUED RED FLAG WARNING FOR WEDNESDAY FROM 2PM TO 8PM.
ON WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT DURING THE MORNING...AND THE
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH LOW HUMIDITIES ON
WEDNESDAY
.
.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 11-15 MPH. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
                    SHIFT TO NORTHERLY AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY 0200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900 SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY 1200. THEN WINDS WILL
                    BECOME SOUTH 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 31 MPH
                    BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14500 FT AGL AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH AROUND 18
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLYN
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130611.BLACK.04/PUB